The central bank of the People’s Republic of China is responsible for formulating and implementing monetary policies, preventing and defusing financial risks and maintaining financial stability.
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China on Friday kept its main benchmark lending rates unchanged at the monthly fixing.
Market watchers polled by Reuters had expected a trim as the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis point rate cut had given more room for China to lower its domestic borrowing costs without prompting a sharp decline in yuan.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said it would keep the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) at 3.35%, as well as the five-year LPR at 3.85%.
The one-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the five-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates.
The rate cut stateside had allowed more monetary flexibility for China to focus on easing the debt burden on its consumers and businesses as it seeks to bolster investment and spending.
China surprised the markets by shaving major short and long term lending rates in July, in a move to reflate growth in its economy, which was facing a prolonged property crisis and weakened consumer and business sentiment.
In August, China’s retail sales, industrial production and urban investment all grew slower than expected, missing expectations among economists polled by Reuters. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high, while year-on-year home prices fell at their fastest pace in nine years.
The disappointing economic data underscored lackluster momentum in the economy, and renewed calls for the government to roll out more fiscal and monetary stimulus measures.
However, easing monetary policies and lower rates likely won’t be enough to turn around China’s economic downturn, according to experts speaking on CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” Friday morning.
“China’s issue is not a supply problem, it’s a demand problem,” said Brendan Ahern, chief investment officer at KraneShares, stressing more fiscal support is needed to boost consumer confidence and raise real estate prices.
“They can cut rates to zero and it’s not necessarily going to speed up the recovery in what is unwinding in their housing market,” Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Financial Group said.
Both Ahern and Boockvar think Beijing will see a more fruitful economic rebound when housing prices stop falling.
A few big banks dialed back their forecast for China’s full-year GDP growth to below the government’s official target of 5%. Bank of America lowered their forecast for China’s 2024 GDP growth to 4.8%, and Citigroup trimmed their projection to 4.7%.
